Next Balearic regional election

Next Balearic regional election

← 2023 No later than 27 June 2027
All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands 30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Marga Prohens Francina Armengol Gabriel Le Senne Party PP PSIB–PSOE Vox Leader since 24 July 2021 25 February 2012 15 July 2025 Leader's seat Mallorca —[a] Mallorca Last election 25 seats, 35.8% 18 seats, 26.5% 8 seats, 13.9% Current seats 25 18 5 Seats needed 5 12 25   Leader Lluís Apesteguia Josep Castells TBD Party Més MxMe EUIB–Podemos Leader since 24 October 2021 16 December 2018 — Leader's seat Mallorca Menorca — Last election 4 seats, 8.4% 2 seats, 1.4% 1 seat, 4.4% Current seats 4 2 1 Seats needed 26 28 29
Incumbent President Marga Prohens PP

A regional election will be held in the Balearic Islands no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 59 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. If customary practice is maintained, the election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of the Balearic Islands is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats:[1][2]

Seats	Constituencies
33	Mallorca
13	Menorca
12	Ibiza
1	Formentera

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree shall be published in the BOIB no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 June 2027.[1][2][3]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

In late 2024, it emerged that regional president Marga Prohens was considering to call a snap election in the event of being unable to get her 2025 budget passed through parliament, following Vox's decision to exit the cabinet earlier that year.[4][5][6] Amid doubts on whether her party would be able to secure an absolute majority on its own, Prohens ended up ruling out an early election call.[7][8] It later transpired that Vox national leader, Santiago Abascal, had unsuccessfully attempted to force a regional snap election in April 2024.[9] New speculation emerged in September 2025 that the national leadership of the People's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections in Aragon and Extremadura (and possibly the Balearic Islands) to make them take place near or concurrently with the Castilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday".[10][11][12] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure to approve their 2026 budgets, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on the national government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez.[13][14] Prohens's government replied to such speculation by ruling out any plans for a snap election in the region, dubbing it as an "opportunistic" move.[15][16] After it transpired that Extremaduran president María Guardiola had decided to call a snap election in her region,[17] the Balearic government insisted on ruling out a snap election, commenting that "the conditions in the Balearic Islands have nothing to do with the situation in Extremadura, Aragon or Castile and León".[18]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time.[19][20]

Current parliamentary composition

Groups		Parties		Legislators
				Seats	Total
	People's Parliamentary Group		PP	25	25
	Socialist Parliamentary Group		PSIB–PSOE	18	18
	Vox Balearics Parliamentary Group		Vox	5	5
	More for Mallorca Parliamentary Group		PSM–Entesa	4	4
	Mixed Parliamentary Group		MxMe	2	4
			Podemos	1
			Sa Unió	1
	Non-Inscrits		INDEP	3[b]	3

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Vote %	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Marga Prohens	Conservatism Christian democracy	35.8%	25
	PSIB–PSOE	List Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE)		Francina Armengol	Social democracy	26.5%	18		[24]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		Gabriel Le Senne	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	13.9%	8
	Més	List Socialist Party of Majorca–Agreement (PSM–E) InitiativeGreens (IV) Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC)		Lluís Apesteguia	Left-wing nationalism Democratic socialism Green politics	8.4%	4
	EUIB– Podemos	List We Can (Podemos) United Left of the Balearic Islands (EUIB) – Communist Party of the Balearic Islands (PCIB) – The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM)) – Republican Left (IR)		TBD	Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism	4.4%	1
	MxMe	List More for Menorca (MxMe)		Josep Castells	Left-wing nationalism Democratic socialism Green politics	1.4%	2
	Sa Unió	List People's Party (PP)[c] Commitment to Formentera (CompromísFormentera)		Llorenç Córdoba	Conservatism	0.4%	1
	GxF	List People for Formentera (GxF) Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE)[c]		TBD	Environmentalism Democratic socialism	0.4%	0

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout												SALF	Lead
NC Report/La Razón[p 1]	16–31 May 2025	350	?	? 29	? 14	? 8	? 4	? 1	–	? 2	–	? 1	–	–	–	?
IBES/Última Hora[p 2]	19–23 May 2025	1,300	?	38.6 28	25.4 17	14.5 7	9.3 4	4.0 0	2.2 0	1.5 2	0.4 0	0.4 0	0.4 1	–	–	14.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 3]	28 Apr–12 May 2025	1,107	?	36.4 26/27	25.7 16/17	13.8 7/8	9.8 4	5.5 1/2	3.0 0	1.6 2	–	0.4 0/1	0.4 0/1	–	–	10.7
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—N/a	37.7	35.8 (26)	28.9 (21)	11.2 (6)	5.2 (3)	3.1 (0)	1.0 (0)	[d]	0.6 (0)	–	–	4.4 (0)	5.3 (3)	6.9
IBES/Última Hora[p 4]	13–17 May 2024	1,300	?	38.8 28	23.9 16	13.1 6	10.9 5	4.7 0	1.8 0	2.0 3	0.3 0	0.3 0	0.4 1	–	–	14.9
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—N/a	61.3	35.6 (23)	30.2 (18)	15.2 (7)	[e]	[e]	–	[e]	–	–	–	16.6 (11)	–	5.4
2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—N/a	55.1	35.8 25	26.5 18	13.9 8	8.4 4	4.4 1	3.8 0	1.4 2	1.4 0	0.4 1	0.4 0	–	–	9.3

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size									SALF	?	N	Lead
CIS[p 5]	7–31 Mar 2025	408	21.9	23.1	10.6	5.4	1.5	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.8	22.8	4.7	1.2
2024 EP election	9 Jun 2024	—N/a	13.9	11.2	4.3	2.0	1.2	0.4	[d]	1.7	2.1	—N/a	60.9	2.7
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023	—N/a	22.4	19.0	9.6	[e]	[e]	–	[e]	10.4	–	—N/a	36.4	3.4
2023 regional election	28 May 2023	—N/a	20.2	14.9	7.8	4.7	2.5	2.1	0.8	–	–	—N/a	42.6	5.3

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Balearic Islands.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size						Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Prohens PP	Armengol PSIB	Suárez PSIB	Cañadas Vox	Apesteguia Més
CIS[f][p 5]	7–31 Mar 2025	408	18.9	10.5	4.3	5.8	1.8	4.4	54.2	8.4

Opinion poll sources Other