A landslide victory is an election result in which the winning candidate or party achieves a decisive victory by an overwhelming margin, securing a very large majority of votes or seats far beyond the typical competitive outcome.[1][2] The term became popular in the 19th century to describe a victory in which the opposition is "buried",[1] similar to the way in which a geological landslide buries whatever is in its path. A landslide victory for one party is often accompanied by an electoral wipeout for the opposition, as the overwhelming support for the winning side inflicts a decisive loss on its rivals. What qualifies as a landslide victory can vary depending on the type of electoral system, as the term does not entail a precise, technical, or universally agreed-upon measurement. Instead, it is used informally in everyday language, making it subject to interpretation. Even within a single electoral system, there is no consensus on the exact margin that constitutes a landslide victory.[1]
A landslide victory implies a powerful expression of popular will and a ringing endorsement by the electorate for the winner's political platform. A landslide can be viewed by a winning candidate or party as a mandate or a tacit authorization from the public to implement their proposed policies and pursue their agenda with confidence. Emboldened by the result, the winner may undertake ambitious reforms or significant policy shifts to reflect the electorate's desire for meaningful change.[3] However, it can also indicate deep political polarization in an electorate[4] or an unfair election.[5]
A combination of factors, including charismatic leadership, a favorable shift in public sentiment driven by dissatisfaction with or support for the status quo, strategic electoral campaigning and a positive media portrayal, can create the conditions necessary for a landslide victory. A landslide may fundamentally reshape the political landscape of a country; one example of this phenomenon is Franklin D. Roosevelt's election as US president in 1932.[6] In a post-landslide scenario, a winning party can sometimes implement its policies with little resistance, while its severely weakened opposition may struggle to perform essential checks and balances.
Notable examples
[edit]Australia
[edit]Local and mayoral elections:
- 2008 Brisbane City Council election – The Liberal Party won a landslide victory over the Labor Party. Campbell Newman was re-elected Lord Mayor of Brisbane with 66.1% of the two-party-preferred vote, with a swing of 13.7%.[7] The LNP won 16 of the 26 wards.
- 2021 Mandurah City Council election – Rhys Williams was re-elected Mayor of Mandurah with 85% of the vote.[8]
State and territory elections:
- 2021 Western Australian state election – Mark McGowan led the Labor Party to win 53 out of the 59 seats in the lower house. The Labor Party had a primary vote of 59.92% and a two-party-preferred vote of 69.68%. The National Party won 4 seats and the Liberal Party won 2 seats, making the National Party the official opposition, the first time they had held this status since the 1940s. To date, the election is the most decisive result at any Australian state or federal election since Federation, in terms of both percentage of lower house seats controlled by the governing party (89.8%) and two-party preferred margin.[9][10]
Canada
[edit]In a Canadian federal election, a landslide victory occurs when a political party gains a significant majority of the House of Commons of Canada.
Landslide victories may also occur during provincial elections, and territorial elections in Yukon. Landslide victories are not possible for territorial elections in the Northwest Territories, and Nunavut, as its members are elected without reference to political parties, operating as a consensus government.
National landslide victories
[edit]The following Canadian federal elections resulted in landslide victories:[11]
- 1935 – The Liberals, led by William Lyon Mackenzie King, won 171 seats (an increase of 34) and gained a majority of 50, while the Conservatives, led by R. B. Bennett, won just 39 (a decrease of 98).
- 1940 – The Liberals, led by William Lyon Mackenzie King, won 179 seats (an increase of 6) and gained a majority of 56 seats while the Progressive Conservatives, led by Robert James Manion, won just 39 (unchanged from their previous share).
- 1949 – The Liberals, led by Louis St. Laurent, won 191 seats (an increase of 73) and gained a majority of 59, while the Progressive Conservatives, led by George A. Drew, won just 41 (a decrease of 25).
- 1958 – The Progressive Conservatives, led by John Diefenbaker, won 208 seats (an increase of 96) and gained a majority of 75, while the Liberals, led by Lester B. Pearson, won just 48 (a decrease of 57).
- 1984 – The Progressive Conservatives, led by Brian Mulroney, won 211 seats (an increase of 111) and gained a majority of 69, while the Liberals, led by John Turner, won just 40 (a decrease of 95). Mulroney is the only prime minister to have won a majority of seats in every single province.
- 1993 – The Liberals, led by Jean Chrétien, won 177 seats (an increase of 96) and gained a majority of 29, while the Bloc Québecois, led by Lucien Bouchard, which ran only in Quebec, won 54 (an increase of 54). The ruling Progressive Conservatives, led by Kim Campbell, won just 2 (a decrease of 154).
India
[edit]- In the 1951–52, 1957, and 1962 Indian general elections, Jawaharlal Nehru's Indian National Congress secured landslide majorities in the Lok Sabha.
- In the 1971 and 1980 Indian general elections, Indira Gandhi's Indian National Congress secured landslide majorities in the Lok Sabha.
- 1984 Indian general election – The Indian National Congress led by Rajiv Gandhi was re-elected after winning over 400 seats in the lower house of India's Parliament.[12]
- In the 2014 and 2019 Indian general elections, Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party secured landslide majorities in the Lok Sabha.[13]
Jamaica
[edit]- 2020 Jamaican general election – The Jamaica Labour Party led by Andrew Holness was re-elected after winning a supermajority in Parliament.[14]
Japan
[edit]- 1986 Japanese general election – The Liberal Democratic Party led by Yasuhiro Nakasone was re-elected after winning 300 seats in Parliament and an outright majority.[15]
- 2009 Japanese general election – The Democratic Party of Japan led by Yukio Hatoyama was elected after winning over 300 seats in Parliament.[16]
- 2026 Japanese general election – The Liberal Democratic Party led by Sanae Takaichi was re-elected after winning a supermajority (316 seats) in Parliament. The landslide was so decisive that the LDP, which actually won 330 seats, had to forfeit 14 of those simply due to not having enough list candidates.[17]
New Zealand
[edit]Until 1996, New Zealand used the traditional first-past-the-post system as in the U.K. to determine representation in its Parliament. Thus, landslide elections at that time were defined in an identical fashion, i.e. where one party won an overwhelming majority of the seats. Since 1996, New Zealand has used the mixed member proportional system as in Germany, making landslides much less likely.[18]
First past the post
- 1893 election – The Liberals won 51 seats and 57.8% of the vote while the Conservatives won 13 seats and just 24.5% of the vote.[19]
- 1899 election – The Liberals won 49 seats and 52.7% of the vote while the Conservatives won 19 seats and just 36.6% of the vote.[19]
- 1905 election – The Liberals won 58 seats and 53.1% of the vote while the Conservatives won 16 seats and just 29.7% of the vote.[19]
- 1925 election – The Reform Party won 55 seats while the Labour & Liberal parties won just 23 seats combined.[19]
- 1935 election – The Labour Party won 53 seats while the Coalition won just 19 seats.[19]
- 1938 election – The Labour Party won 53 seats while the National Party won just 25 seats.[19]
- 1990 election – The National Party won 67 seats while the Labour Party won just 29 seats.[19]
South Africa
[edit]- From 1994 to 2019, the African National Congress won supermajorities in the National Assembly of South Africa under universal suffrage.[20]
United Kingdom
[edit]In UK general elections, a landslide victory involves winning a large majority in parliament and often goes with a large swing from one party to another as well. Landslide victories have usually occurred after a long period of government from one particular party and a change in the popular mood.[21]
Large majorities, however, are not always the advantage they appear to be. Anthony Seldon gives a number of examples of the infighting that can arise from large majorities. He claims that a "sweet spot" parliamentary majority of 35–50 seats is enough to protect from by-elections and still comfortably pass legislation.[22]
Notable landslide election results
- 1906 – Henry Campbell-Bannerman led his Liberal Party to victory over Arthur Balfour's Conservative Party who lost more than half their seats, including his own seat in Manchester East, as a result of the large national swing to the Liberal Party (The 5.4% swing from the Conservatives to Liberals was at the time the highest ever achieved). The Liberal Party won 397 seats (an increase of 214) and a majority of 124 seats, while the Conservative Party were left with 156 seats (a decrease of 246).[23][24]
- 1945 – Clement Attlee led the Labour Party to victory over Winston Churchill's Conservative Party, a 12.0% swing from the Conservatives to Labour. Labour won 393 seats (an increase of 239) while the Conservative Party were left with 197 (a decrease of 190).[25]
- 1983 – Margaret Thatcher led the Conservative Party to win a landslide victory (her second term in office) with 397 seats (an increase of 58, the party's highest seat count since 1931) and a majority of 144 seats, [1] while the Labour Party led by Michael Foot won 209 seats (a decrease of 60). Additionally in the popular vote the party finished just two points ahead of the SDP–Liberal Alliance. However, they receive far more seats due to the first past the post system. [2]
- 1997 – Tony Blair led the Labour Party to win a first landslide victory with 418 seats (an increase of 146) and gained an overall majority of 179 while the Conservative Party led by John Major won 165 seats (a decrease of 178). The swing from the Conservatives to Labour was 10.2% and was the second biggest general election victory of the 20th Century after 1931.[26]
- 2001 – Tony Blair led the Labour Party to win a second landslide victory with 412 seats (a decrease of 6) and retained an overall majority of 167 while the Conservative Party led by William Hague won 166 seats (an increase of 1), making Tony Blair the first Labour Prime Minister to serve two consecutive full terms in office.[27]
- 2019 – Boris Johnson led the Conservative Party to win a landslide victory (his second term in office) with 365 seats (an increase of 48, the party's highest seat count since 1987) and a majority of 80 seats, while the Labour Party led by Jeremy Corbyn won 202 seats (a decrease of 60, the party's worst result since 1935). The election led to 54 Labour seats changing to Conservative predominantly in the Midlands and Northern England – some of which had been held by Labour since the first half of the 20th century.[28]
- 2024 – Keir Starmer led the Labour Party to win a landslide victory with 411 seats (an increase of 211, the party's highest seat count since 2001) and a majority of 172 seats, while the Conservative Party led by Rishi Sunak won 121 seats (a decrease of 251, the party's worst ever result, exceeding the previous worst defeat of 1906.[29])
United States
[edit]This section needs additional citations for verification. (November 2025) |
A landslide victory in presidential elections occurs when a candidate has an overwhelming majority in the Electoral College. In federal and state congressional elections, a landslide victory occurs when a party wins 60% or more of the seats in a legislative chamber.
Presidential elections
[edit]- 1928 – Herbert Hoover (R) received 444 (83.6%) of the electoral votes while Al Smith (D) received only 87 (16.4%).
- 1932 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 472 (88.9%) of the electoral votes while Herbert Hoover (R) received only 59 (11.1%).
- 1936 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 523 (98.5%) of the electoral votes—the largest share since 1820 and the largest in a non-unanimous election—while Alf Landon (R) received only 8 (1.5%). Additionally, Roosevelt received 60.8% of the popular vote.
- 1940 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 449 (84.6%) of the electoral votes while Wendell Willkie (R) received only 82 (15.4%).
- 1944 – Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) received 432 (81.4%) of the electoral votes while Thomas E. Dewey (R) received only 99 (18.6%).
- 1952 – Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) received 442 (83.2%) of the electoral votes while Adlai Stevenson II (D) received only 89 (16.8%).
- 1956 – Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) received 457 (86.1%) of the electoral votes while Adlai Stevenson II (D) received only 73 (13.7%).
- 1964 – Lyndon B. Johnson (D) received 486 (90.3%) of the electoral votes while Barry Goldwater (R) received only 52 (9.7%). Additionally, Johnson received 61.1% of the popular vote.
- 1972 – Richard Nixon (R) received 520 (96.7%) of the electoral votes while George McGovern (D) received only 17 (3.2%). One Republican elector voted for John Hospers of the Libertarian Party. Additionally, Nixon received 60.7% of the popular vote.
- 1980 – Ronald Reagan (R) received 489 (90.9%) of the electoral votes while Jimmy Carter (D) received only 49 (9.1%).
- 1984 – Ronald Reagan (R) received 525 (97.6%) of the electoral votes while Walter Mondale (D) received only 13 (2.4%). Additionally, Reagan received 58.8% of the popular vote.
- 1988 – George H. W. Bush (R) received 426 (79.2%) of the electoral votes while Michael Dukakis (D) received only 111 (20.8%).
- 1996 – Bill Clinton (D) received 379 (70.4%) of the electoral votes while Bob Dole (R) received 159 (29.6%) and Ross Perot of the Reform Party received none.[30][31][32][33][34]
Congressional elections
[edit]- 1932 – Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's win in the presidential election, the Democratic Party won 313 seats with 54.5% of the popular vote, which caused the Republican Party to lose its two-seat majority. This election marked a beginning of political dominance for the Democratic Party that would last until the 1994 election.
- 1934 – The Democratic Party gained nine seats from the previous election.
- 1936 – Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's election to a second term as president, the Democratic Party gained an additional twelve seats from the previous election with 55.9% of the popular vote, bringing the total amount of seats held by the party to 334. This would be the most recent election where one party won more than 300 seats in the House of Representatives, and was the last of four straight elections where Republicans lost seats due to the effects of the Great Depression.[35]
- 1920 – Coinciding with Warren G. Harding's win in the presidential election, the Republican Party gained ten seats from the Democratic Party, giving them a 59–37 majority.
- 1932 –– Coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's win in the presidential election, the Democratic Party gained twelve seats from the Republican Party, giving them a 60–36 majority.
Elsewhere
[edit]- 1957 West German federal election – The CDU/CSU won an absolute majority.[36]
- 2002 and 2006 Brazilian presidential elections – Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers' Party won with over 60% of the vote in the second rounds.
- 2002 French presidential election – Jacques Chirac of Rally for the Republic won re-election in the second round with over 80% of the vote.
- 2006 Samoan general election – The Human Rights Protection Party, led by Tuilaʻepa Saʻilele Malielegaoi, won a landslide victory, winning 33 seats, an increase of ten. The main opposition party, the new Samoa Democratic United Party, won 10 seats.[37]
- 2008 Taiwanese presidential election – Ma Ying-jeou of the Kuomintang won with over 58% of the vote.[38]
- 2009 Indonesian presidential election – Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono of the Democratic Party won in the first round with over 60% of the vote.
- 2011 Argentine presidential election – Cristina Fernández de Kirchner of the Justicialist Party was re-elected with over 54% of the vote.[39]
- 2013 Chilean presidential election – Michelle Bachelet of the Socialist Party won a second term with over 62% of the vote in the second round.
- 2016 Samoan general election – The Human Rights Protection Party, led by Tuilaʻepa Saʻilele Malielegaoi, won by a landslide victory, winning 35 of the 49 seats in the Legislative Assembly, gaining six seats. The main opposition party, the Tautua Samoa Party (led by Palusalue Faʻapo II) only won two seats, losing 11 seats. Independents won 13 seats.[40]
- 2016 and 2020 Taiwanese presidential elections – Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party won with over 56% of the vote both times, while her party also secured consecutive majorities in the Legislative Yuan.[41]
- 2022 Philippine presidential election – Bongbong Marcos of the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas won in the first round with over 58% of the vote.[42]
- 2024 Indonesian presidential election – Prabowo Subianto of the Gerindra Party won in the first round, receiving over 96 million votes and 58.59% of the vote.[43][44]
- 2024 Mexican presidential election – Claudia Sheinbaum of Morena won with over 60% of the vote, becoming the country's first female president.
- 2026 Portuguese presidential election – António José Seguro of the Socialist Party won with nearly 67% of the vote in the second round.[45]
- 2026 Bangladeshi general election – The Bangladesh Nationalist Party won a 2/3rds majority in the Jatiya Sangsad.
See also
[edit]- Wipeout (elections)
- Realigning election
- Wave elections in the United States
- Blowout (sports)
- Landslide (board game)
- Paper candidate
References
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- ^ Newton-Farrelly, Jenni (November 2009). "FROM GERRY-BUILT TO PURPOSE-BUILT: DRAWING ELECTORAL BOUNDARIES FOR UNBIASED ELECTION OUTCOMES". Representation. 45 (4): 471–484. doi:10.1080/00344890903257565.
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