2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election

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See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election
← 2006
November 2, 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Mary Fallin Jari Askins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 625,506 409,261
Percentage 60.45% 39.55%
County results
Fallin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Askins:      50–60%
Governor before election

Brad Henry
Democratic

Elected Governor

Mary Fallin
Republican

The 2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits established by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic governor Brad Henry couldn't seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. This was the first time a woman challenged another woman for Governor of Oklahoma.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans), both of whom have also previously held the office of the lieutenant governor of Oklahoma, and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first female governor. In 2008, Republicans won majorities in both chambers of the state legislature for the first ever; as they expanded these majorities in the 2010 elections and Fallin won the governorship, a Republican state government trifecta was established for the first time since statehood when Fallin was sworn in on January 10, 2011.

Askins carried only four counties: her home county of Stephens and neighboring Comanche, Cotton, and Jefferson. While Fallin won all other 73 counties (of which she flipped 70), her margins varied, ranging from narrow wins in much of Eastern Oklahoma to a 66-point victory in staunchly Republican Beaver County.

Fallin was the first Republican to win Atoka County, Choctaw County, Coal County, Haskell County, Hughes County, Johnston County, Latimer County, LeFlore County, McCurtain County, Okfuskee County, Pittsburg County, and Pushmataha County in a gubernatorial election since Oklahoma statehood. Muskogee County and Sequoyah County voted Republican for the first time since 1907. Fallin was the first non-Democrat to win Tillman County, which had voted for the Democratic candidate for governor in each election since Oklahoma statehood, thus breaking a 103-year streak of voting Democratic Party.

Democratic primary

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Declared

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Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Drew
Edmondson 		Jari
Askins
SoonerPoll.com[3] July 16–21, 2010 49% 33%
Sooner Survey[4] July 18–20, 2010 38% 27%
SoonerPoll.com[5] May 25 – June 9, 2010 37% 36%
SoonerPoll.com[6] January 2–5, 2010 46% 36%

Results

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Results by county:
  Askins
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Edmondson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jari Askins 132,591 50.28%
Democratic Drew Edmondson 131,097 49.72%
Total votes 263,688 100.00%

Republican primary

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Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin 		Randy
Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com[3] July 16–21, 2010 56% 18%
Sooner Survey[4] July 18–20, 2010 50% 22%
SoonerPoll.com[13] May 25 – June 9, 2010 59% 10%
SoonerPoll.com[6] January 2–5, 2010 68% 16%

Results

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Results by county:
  Fallin
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Brogdon
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mary Fallin 136,477 54.79%
Republican Randy Brogdon 98,170 39.41%
Republican Robert Hubbard 8,132 3.26%
Republican Roger L. Jackson 6,290 2.53%
Total votes 249,069 100.00%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[14] Likely R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[15] Safe R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[16] Safe R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[18] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Mary
Fallin (R) 		Jari
Askins (D)
SoonerPoll.com[19] October 23, 2010 56% 39%
SoonerPoll.com[19] October 7, 2010 54% 36%
Rasmussen Reports[20] September 23, 2010 60% 34%
Rasmussen Reports[21] August 26, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[22] July 28, 2010 57% 36%
SoonerPoll.com[3] July 16–21, 2010 46% 40%
Rasmussen Reports[23] June 30, 2010 55% 32%
SoonerPoll.com[24] May 25 – June 9, 2010 49% 36%
Rasmussen Reports[25] February 24, 2010 51% 37%
SoonerPoll.com[6] January 2–5, 2010 52% 36%
Public Policy Polling[26] May 13–17, 2009 50% 34%

Results

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2010 Oklahoma gubernatorial election[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mary Fallin 625,506 60.45% +26.95%
Democratic Jari Askins 409,261 39.55% −26.95%
Total votes 1,034,767 100.00%
Majority 216,245 20.90%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing +53.91%

Results by county

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County[27] Mary Fallin
Republican 		Jari Askins
Democratic 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # %
Adair 3,023 54.72% 2,501 45.28% 522 9.45% 5,524
Alfalfa 1,301 63.84% 737 36.16% 564 27.67% 2,038
Atoka 2,231 59.80% 1,500 40.20% 731 19.59% 3,731
Beaver 1,564 82.97% 321 17.03% 1,243 65.94% 1,885
Beckham 3,471 63.51% 1,994 36.49% 1,477 27.03% 5,465
Blaine 2,061 65.20% 1,100 34.80% 961 30.40% 3,161
Bryan 6,115 58.46% 4,346 41.54% 1,769 16.91% 10,461
Caddo 3,723 50.83% 3,602 49.17% 121 1.65% 7,325
Canadian 24,964 71.47% 9,964 28.53% 15,000 42.95% 34,928
Carter 8,478 65.52% 4,461 34.48% 4,017 31.05% 12,939
Cherokee 5,850 51.05% 5,609 48.95% 241 2.10% 11,459
Choctaw 2,227 54.72% 1,843 45.28% 384 9.43% 4,070
Cimarron 734 73.62% 263 26.38% 471 47.24% 997
Cleveland 42,797 58.41% 30,467 41.59% 12,330 16.83% 73,264
Coal 1,052 52.34% 958 47.66% 94 4.68% 2,010
Comanche 10,827 49.72% 10,950 50.28% -123 -0.56% 21,777
Cotton 818 44.82% 1,007 55.18% -189 -10.36% 1,825
Craig 2,470 57.39% 1,834 42.61% 636 14.78% 4,304
Creek 13,377 65.54% 7,034 34.46% 6,343 31.08% 20,411
Custer 5,061 65.60% 2,654 34.40% 2,407 31.20% 7,715
Delaware 7,304 63.90% 4,127 36.10% 3,177 27.79% 11,431
Dewey 1,307 70.12% 557 29.88% 750 40.24% 1,864
Ellis 1,105 72.70% 415 27.30% 690 45.39% 1,520
Garfield 11,515 68.41% 5,318 31.59% 6,197 36.81% 16,833
Garvin 5,254 59.07% 3,641 40.93% 1,613 18.13% 8,895
Grady 10,031 63.60% 5,741 36.40% 4,290 27.20% 15,772
Grant 1,199 66.17% 613 33.83% 586 32.34% 1,812
Greer 892 56.63% 683 43.37% 209 13.27% 1,575
Harmon 420 55.70% 334 44.30% 86 11.41% 754
Harper 899 73.09% 331 26.91% 568 46.18% 1,230
Haskell 1,901 55.49% 1,525 44.51% 376 10.97% 3,426
Hughes 1,881 53.39% 1,642 46.61% 239 6.78% 3,523
Jackson 3,950 65.83% 2,050 34.17% 1,900 31.67% 6,000
Jefferson 881 48.30% 943 51.70% -62 -3.40% 1,824
Johnston 1,713 58.19% 1,231 41.81% 482 16.37% 2,944
Kay 8,656 63.53% 4,970 36.47% 3,686 27.05% 13,626
Kingfisher 3,504 73.02% 1,295 26.98% 2,209 46.03% 4,799
Kiowa 1,424 53.25% 1,250 46.75% 174 6.51% 2,674
Latimer 1,610 52.32% 1,467 47.68% 143 4.65% 3,077
Le Flore 7,040 54.20% 5,950 45.80% 1,090 8.39% 12,990
Lincoln 6,976 64.51% 3,838 35.49% 3,138 29.02% 10,814
Logan 8,848 68.35% 4,098 31.65% 4,750 36.69% 12,946
Love 1,554 58.40% 1,107 41.60% 447 16.80% 2,661
Major 2,221 73.74% 791 26.26% 1,430 47.48% 3,012
Marshall 2,528 63.00% 1,485 37.00% 1,043 25.99% 4,013
Mayes 6,992 59.46% 4,768 40.54% 2,224 18.91% 11,760
McClain 7,248 65.50% 3,817 34.50% 3,431 31.01% 11,065
McCurtain 4,312 51.66% 4,035 48.34% 277 3.32% 8,347
McIntosh 3,244 52.62% 2,921 47.38% 323 5.24% 6,165
Murray 2,177 54.71% 1,802 45.29% 375 9.42% 3,979
Muskogee 9,405 52.98% 8,348 47.02% 1,057 5.95% 17,753
Noble 2,782 69.86% 1,200 30.14% 1,582 39.73% 3,982
Nowata 1,981 60.38% 1,300 39.62% 681 20.76% 3,281
Okfuskee 1,619 53.54% 1,405 46.46% 214 7.08% 3,024
Oklahoma 111,614 57.55% 82,316 42.45% 29,298 15.11% 193,930
Okmulgee 5,393 52.36% 4,906 47.64% 487 4.73% 10,299
Osage 7,938 55.08% 6,473 44.92% 1,465 10.17% 14,411
Ottawa 3,985 55.95% 3,138 44.05% 847 11.89% 7,123
Pawnee 3,030 62.56% 1,813 37.44% 1,217 25.13% 4,843
Payne 11,633 58.48% 8,258 41.52% 3,375 16.97% 19,891
Pittsburg 6,808 54.56% 5,671 45.44% 1,137 9.11% 12,479
Pontotoc 5,365 54.87% 4,412 45.13% 953 9.75% 9,777
Pottawatomie 11,832 64.42% 6,536 35.58% 5,296 28.83% 18,368
Pushmataha 1,901 55.49% 1,525 44.51% 376 10.97% 3,426
Roger Mills 923 69.09% 413 30.91% 510 38.17% 1,336
Rogers 18,874 67.30% 9,171 32.70% 9,703 34.60% 28,045
Seminole 3,637 57.49% 2,689 42.51% 948 14.99% 6,326
Sequoyah 5,659 55.72% 4,497 44.28% 1,162 11.44% 10,156
Stephens 6,458 44.01% 8,217 55.99% -1,759 -11.99% 14,675
Texas 3,545 79.95% 889 20.05% 2,656 59.90% 4,434
Tillman 1,083 51.50% 1,020 48.50% 63 3.00% 2,103
Tulsa 105,060 62.31% 63,558 37.69% 41,502 24.61% 168,618
Wagoner 14,314 68.19% 6,678 31.81% 7,636 36.38% 20,992
Washington 11,548 69.62% 5,039 30.38% 6,509 39.24% 16,587
Washita 2,265 62.95% 1,333 37.05% 932 25.90% 3,598
Woods 2,042 66.19% 1,043 33.81% 999 32.38% 3,085
Woodward 4,082 72.83% 1,523 27.17% 2,559 45.66% 5,605
Totals 625,506 60.45% 409,261 39.55% 216,245 20.90% 1,034,767

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  1. ^ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
  2. ^ "Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010".
  3. ^ a b c SoonerPoll.com
  4. ^ a b Sooner Survey
  5. ^ SoonerPoll.com
  6. ^ a b c SoonerPoll.com
  7. ^ a b "Summary Results - Primary Election - July 27, 2010". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
  8. ^ [1][dead link]
  9. ^ "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. Archived from the original on July 12, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ^ "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. April 18, 2009. Archived from the original on October 7, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ^ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season", The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
  12. ^ Casteel, Chris (May 22, 2009). "J.C. Watts rules out run for Oklahoma governor". The Oklahoman. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
  13. ^ SoonerPoll.com
  14. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  18. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  19. ^ a b SoonerPoll.com
  20. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  21. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  22. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  23. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  24. ^ SoonerPoll.com
  25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ Public Policy Polling
  27. ^ a b "General Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. pp. 4–6. Retrieved January 9, 2026.
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Debates

Official campaign sites

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